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New Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment

April 2018

Working Paper Number:

CES-18-17

Abstract

We use relatively unexplored dimensions of US microdata to examine how US manufacturing employment has evolved across industries, rms, establishments, and regions. We show that these data provide support for both trade- and technology-based explanations of the overall decline of employment over this period, while also highlighting the di-culties of estimating an overall contribution for each mechanism. Toward that end, we discuss how further analysis of these trends might yield sharper insights.

Document Tags and Keywords

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:
demand, economist, manufacturing, industrial, organizational, sector, recession, state, job, trend, regressing, wholesale, gdp, manufacturing industries, declining, decline, outsourcing, sourcing

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:
Bureau of Labor Statistics, IBM, Longitudinal Business Database, Princeton University, Board of Governors, North American Industry Classification System, Limited Liability Company, Business Dynamics Statistics

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