CREAT: Census Research Exploration and Analysis Tool

Finding Needles in Haystacks: Multiple-Imputation Record Linkage Using Machine Learning

November 2021

Abstract

This paper considers the problem of record linkage between a household-level survey and an establishment-level frame in the absence of unique identifiers. Linkage between frames in this setting is challenging because the distribution of employment across establishments is highly skewed. To address these difficulties, this paper develops a probabilistic record linkage methodology that combines machine learning (ML) with multiple imputation (MI). This ML-MI methodology is applied to link survey respondents in the Health and Retirement Study to their workplaces in the Census Business Register. The linked data reveal new evidence that non-sampling errors in household survey data are correlated with respondents' workplace characteristics.

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estimating, data, data census, microdata, census research, respondent, survey, employed, employee, imputation, workforce, record, household, census business, census bureau, household survey, sampling, sample, census employment, datasets, imputation model, linked census, linkage

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Social Security Administration, Ordinary Least Squares, Employer Identification Number, Department of Economics, Federal Reserve System, Survey of Income and Program Participation, Board of Governors, Health and Retirement Study, Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics, Alfred P Sloan Foundation, National Institute on Aging, Census Bureau Business Register, Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, University of Michigan, Census Bureau Disclosure Review Board, Federal Statistical Research Data Center

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